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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Futures At Session Cheaps, Fresh Cycle High For 10Y Yield, CPI Data Tomorrow
JGB futures push to a fresh session low of 144.56, -41 compared to the settlement levels, in the Tokyo afternoon session.
- According to MNI's technical team, recent weakness has confirmed a resumption of the medium-term downtrend and paved the way for weakness towards 144.15, the Jan 13 low and major support. On the upside, clearance of 146.41, the Sep 4 high would instead highlight a base and a possible short-term reversal.
- There hasn’t been much in the way of domestic drivers to flag, outside of the previously outlined trade balance and international investment flow data.
- Accordingly, local participants have likely sought guidance from US tsys. So far in Asia-Pac dealings, US tsys have extended weakness in yesterday’s NY session. Cash US tsys are 2 to 5bps cheaper.
- Cash JGBs are cheaper, with the belly of the curve showing a relatively weaker performance led by the futures-linked 7-year (3.8bps cheaper). The benchmark 10-year yield is 3.4bps higher at 0.843%, just shy of the cycle high of 0.848% set earlier today.
- Swap rates are higher, with the belly also underperforming. Swap spreads are mixed across maturities.
- Tomorrow the local calendar sees National CPI data for September.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.