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Futures Pressured, Curve Steepened

GILTS

Gilts have been biased lower given the post-Thursday close weakness in U.S. Tsys (centred on the well-documented poorly received 30-Year Tsy auction and the latest musings from Fed Chair Powell).

  • Domestic headline flow has been relatively muted since yesterday’s close, while this morning’s UK economic data failed to provide anything in the way of meaningful market impetus.
  • That has left the aforementioned U.S. drivers at the fore.
  • Futures traded as low as 94.89 in recent trade, ~125 ticks off yesterday’s multi-week high..
  • Technically, the contract still maintains a short-term bullish tone. Firm support to watch is 92.63, the Nov 1 low, while initial support is seen at 94.03, the 50-day EMA.
  • Cash gilt yields run 2.0-6.5bp higher as the curve steepens, with 2s10s and 5s30s ticking away from month-to-date lows.
  • SONIA futures last trade +0.5 to -9.0bp, twist steepening.
  • BoE-dated OIS is little changed to ~3.5bp firmer on the day, a little shy of early hawkish extremes.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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