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SOUTH KOREA: Futures Uptrend Reasserts as 10YR Jumps. 

SOUTH KOREA
  • Markets got what they were looking for as President Trump hit the ground running suggesting almost immediate tariffs on Canada and Mexico, whilst potentially softening on China.
  • The Korean 10YR future was an outperformer in the Asia trading day, up +0.70 by mid-afternoon to 118.55, having breached the 118.00 level yesterday.
  • For the benchmark 10yr future, recent moves higher have moved through all key EMAs.  The 20-day EMA is up at 117.7478 and the 200-day EMA at 117.6056.
  • The 3YR future has consolidated yesterday’s gains and is up +0.21 at 106.99, comfortably above the 20-day EMA of 106.7879.
  • Market pricing has 12ps of cuts over 3-month time horizon, 47bps over 1-year.
  • Political uncertainty remains with the President under arrest, and expected to appear at his impeachment trail to defend himself today. (source: BBG)
  • Today’s data releases:  PPI +1.7% (prior +1.4%); first 20 days Exports -5.1% YoY,  first 20 days Imports -1.7%. 
  • Upcoming data of note: 22 JAN Consumer Confidence, 23 JAN GDP (survey +1.4% down from +1.5%prior).
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  • Markets got what they were looking for as President Trump hit the ground running suggesting almost immediate tariffs on Canada and Mexico, whilst potentially softening on China.
  • The Korean 10YR future was an outperformer in the Asia trading day, up +0.70 by mid-afternoon to 118.55, having breached the 118.00 level yesterday.
  • For the benchmark 10yr future, recent moves higher have moved through all key EMAs.  The 20-day EMA is up at 117.7478 and the 200-day EMA at 117.6056.
  • The 3YR future has consolidated yesterday’s gains and is up +0.21 at 106.99, comfortably above the 20-day EMA of 106.7879.
  • Market pricing has 12ps of cuts over 3-month time horizon, 47bps over 1-year.
  • Political uncertainty remains with the President under arrest, and expected to appear at his impeachment trail to defend himself today. (source: BBG)
  • Today’s data releases:  PPI +1.7% (prior +1.4%); first 20 days Exports -5.1% YoY,  first 20 days Imports -1.7%. 
  • Upcoming data of note: 22 JAN Consumer Confidence, 23 JAN GDP (survey +1.4% down from +1.5%prior).