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MNI BNM Preview-Jan 2025: On Hold Again

BNM is expected to remain on hold at tomorrow's policy meeting

Executive Summary: 

  • Given the strength of data currently, and their BNM’s focus on external events, we expect the BNM to maintain their current neutral bias at this week’s meeting.
  • Of the 24 participants in a BBG survey, there are no forecasts for a cut in the January meeting.
  • The challenge for Malaysia (and for regional peers) will be whether the USD strength witnessed in the back end of 2024 will continue.  Whilst the BNM recognize that Ringgit performance is driven by external factors, that doesn't mean they can or will ignore it, rather how are they managing it.
  • See the full preview: BNM Preview - JAN 2025 (final) .pdf

 

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Executive Summary: 

  • Given the strength of data currently, and their BNM’s focus on external events, we expect the BNM to maintain their current neutral bias at this week’s meeting.
  • Of the 24 participants in a BBG survey, there are no forecasts for a cut in the January meeting.
  • The challenge for Malaysia (and for regional peers) will be whether the USD strength witnessed in the back end of 2024 will continue.  Whilst the BNM recognize that Ringgit performance is driven by external factors, that doesn't mean they can or will ignore it, rather how are they managing it.
  • See the full preview: BNM Preview - JAN 2025 (final) .pdf