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Free AccessFutures Weaker, Near Toyo Session Lows, Heavy Local Calendar Tomorrow Incl. Tokyo CPI
JGB futures are sitting cheaper and near Tokyo session cheaps, -15 compared to session cheaps.
- There hasn’t been much in the way of domestic drivers to flag, outside of the previously outlined international investment flows.
- The cash JGB curve has bear-steepened, with yields 0.1bp to 1.5bps higher. The benchmark 10-year yield is 1.1bps higher at 0.752%. It is slightly lower than the cycle high of 0.756%, set prior to the September BOJ decision.
- The 2-year yield is at 0.031%, 0.4bp higher on the day, but 0.4bp lower in post-auction dealings. This is despite only adequate demand exhibited in today’s auction.
- Considering that today's auction took place amidst more positive demand indicators for 5-, 20-, and 40-year JGB offerings, the results might be viewed as somewhat lacklustre, especially given that the outright yield was the highest since January. The notable steepening of the 2/5 JGB yield curve over the past month, reaching its most pronounced point since January, appears to have influenced demand compared to the recent 5-year auction.
- The swaps curve has bear-steepened, with rates 0.5bp to 2.1bps higher. Swap spreads are wider beyond the 1-year.
- Tomorrow the local calendar is heavy with the release of Tokyo CPI, Jobless Rate, Job-To-Applicant Ratio, Retail Sales, Housing Starts and Consumer Confidence data.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.