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Free AccessFutures Weaker Overnight, But Core & Core-Core CPI Misses Estimates
In post-Tokyo trade, JGB futures are weaker, closing -5 compared to settlement levels, despite US tsys finishing 1-8bps richer across the major benchmarks. The US curve bull steepened. US tsys were briefly pressured after weekly claims were lower than forecast. However, GDP Price Index (1.7% vs. 2.0% est), Personal Consumption (0.8% vs. 1.7% est) and Pending Home Sales (-7.1% vs. -1.0% est) all printed lower than expected. The 10-year yield printed a fresh cycle high at 4.6861%, before finishing at 4.58% (-3bps).
- There was little reaction to the Fedspeak which crossed through the session. Fed Chair Powell did not make any market-moving statements at a teacher town hall event.
- Later today sees US consumer spending, wholesale inventories and University of Michigan consumer sentiment.
- Tokyo CPI prints a headline rate in August of 2.8% y/y versus 2.7% est. and 2.9% prior. Core and Core-Core both undershoot expectations printing respectively 2.5% y/y and 3.8% y/y versus 2.6% est. and 2.8% prior (Core) and 3.9% est. and 4.0% prior (Core-Core). This data should support the market in early Tokyo dealing.
- Jobless Rate shows 2.7% versus 2.6% est. and 2.7% prior. The Job-To-Applicant Ratio was unchanged at 1.29 in August.
- Today the local calendar also sees August Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Housing Starts and Consumer Confidence data.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.