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Gas Prices Fall But LNG Competition Likely to Continue

LNG

Global gas prices continue to pull back on the back of EU measures to reduce consumption.

  • Despite the fall, prices are still well above the already high levels seen at the start of the year. High gas prices are causing demand destruction and switching from gas to coal and oil.
  • EU are increasing LNG import capacity but global competition for LNG supply will remain strong with an increase in new global liquefaction capacity not expected until 2024 and beyond.
  • Investment is taking place into LNG liquefaction with expansion projects in US and Qatar. The North Field expansion project in Qatar aims to increase LNG output by 64% by 2027. US LNG export capacity is expected to grow from the start of 2024 with the introduction of Golden Pass LNG, Plaquemines LNG and Corpus Christi Stage III.
    • TTF OCT 22 down -1.4% at 184.87€/MWh
    • NBP OCT 22 down -2.1% at 281.62p/th
    • JKM Oct 22 down -6.3% at 39.91$/mmbtu
    • JKM-TTF Oct 22 down -1.4$/mmbtu at -13.15$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas OCT 22 up 0.7% at 7.14$/mmbtu

Source: Bloomberg

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