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NATGAS: Gas Summary at European Close: TTF Climbs

NATGAS

TTF has extended gains today, supported by the expected end of Ukraine’s gas transit, cooler weather forecasts, and continued storage withdrawals. European gas demand is set to align with seasonal norms for the end of December, with no major disruptions expected to the winter supply-demand balance.

  • TTF JAN 25 up 3.1% at 45.49€/MWh
  • TTF Q1 25 up 3.3% at 45.72€/MWh
  • In a Facebook post, Slovakia’s Fico said Putin confirmed that Russia was ready to continue delivering gas to the West via Ukraine, but this would be “practically impossible” after Jan. 1 given Kyiv’s stance.
  • Hungary is seeking a solution that would allow gas flows to Europe via Ukraine to continue once the current transit contract between Moscow and Kyiv expires, Prime Minister Viktor Orban said on Saturday.
  • European gas storage was 76% full on Dec. 21 vs the 5-yr seasonal norm of 79% for this time of year according to GIE.
  • European gas demand looks set to be in line with normal for the end of December with no significant impact to the expected supply-demand balance for the rest of winter according to GFB Insight research.
  • Norwegian nominated flows to the UK and Northwest Europe terminals at 336.60 mcm/d vs 5-day moving avg 334.46 mcm/d according to Gassco.
  • The Ukraine gas transit situation is “very complicated and requires increased attention” the Kremlin said on Monday.
  • JKM is expected to be rangebound in the week to Dec. 27, as market participants continue to closely monitor supply availability in Europe as well as cold weather conditions globally, Platts said.
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TTF has extended gains today, supported by the expected end of Ukraine’s gas transit, cooler weather forecasts, and continued storage withdrawals. European gas demand is set to align with seasonal norms for the end of December, with no major disruptions expected to the winter supply-demand balance.

  • TTF JAN 25 up 3.1% at 45.49€/MWh
  • TTF Q1 25 up 3.3% at 45.72€/MWh
  • In a Facebook post, Slovakia’s Fico said Putin confirmed that Russia was ready to continue delivering gas to the West via Ukraine, but this would be “practically impossible” after Jan. 1 given Kyiv’s stance.
  • Hungary is seeking a solution that would allow gas flows to Europe via Ukraine to continue once the current transit contract between Moscow and Kyiv expires, Prime Minister Viktor Orban said on Saturday.
  • European gas storage was 76% full on Dec. 21 vs the 5-yr seasonal norm of 79% for this time of year according to GIE.
  • European gas demand looks set to be in line with normal for the end of December with no significant impact to the expected supply-demand balance for the rest of winter according to GFB Insight research.
  • Norwegian nominated flows to the UK and Northwest Europe terminals at 336.60 mcm/d vs 5-day moving avg 334.46 mcm/d according to Gassco.
  • The Ukraine gas transit situation is “very complicated and requires increased attention” the Kremlin said on Monday.
  • JKM is expected to be rangebound in the week to Dec. 27, as market participants continue to closely monitor supply availability in Europe as well as cold weather conditions globally, Platts said.