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RENEWABLES: German Wind Output Forecast Comparison

RENEWABLES

See the latest German wind output forecast for base-load hours from SpotRenewables vs Bloomberg’s ECMWF model for the next seven days as of Friday afternoon.

  • Both models have similar wind forecasts on 15 February and 22 February, with the smallest deviation on those days at between 0.63-0.87GW.
  • The largest deviation is seen on 23 February as SpotRenewables estimates wind to remain firm from 22 February, while ECMWF estimates wind to drop sharply – leading to a large divergence. The deviation on that day is 12.2GW.
  • Despite these differences, both models suggest a general trend of high volatility over 15-23 February, with wind being on a general upward trend.





     

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See the latest German wind output forecast for base-load hours from SpotRenewables vs Bloomberg’s ECMWF model for the next seven days as of Friday afternoon.

  • Both models have similar wind forecasts on 15 February and 22 February, with the smallest deviation on those days at between 0.63-0.87GW.
  • The largest deviation is seen on 23 February as SpotRenewables estimates wind to remain firm from 22 February, while ECMWF estimates wind to drop sharply – leading to a large divergence. The deviation on that day is 12.2GW.
  • Despite these differences, both models suggest a general trend of high volatility over 15-23 February, with wind being on a general upward trend.





     

    image