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Gilts again the most volatile

BONDS
  • The higher volatility of gilts vs USTs or Bunds continues with gilts underperforming this morning as Fitch lowered the UK's outlook to negative (but affirmed the AA- rating). The gilt curve has bear steepened this morning.
  • The German curve has flattened with 10-year Bunds little moved but Schatz under some pressure this morning. There is a general re-pricing of the outlook for the ECB policy rate - with year-ahead expectations reversing the moves seen earlier in the week.
  • Looking ahead we have the Accounts of the ECB's September meeting due for release at 12:30BST / 7:30ET.
  • We also have a number of Fed speakers: Mester, Kashkari, Evans, Waller and Mester are all on the schedule.
  • TY1 futures are down -0-3 today at 112-14 with 10y UST yields up 0.9bp at 3.765% and 2y yields up 1.6bp at 4.167%.
  • Bund futures are down -0.09 today at 139.67 with 10y Bund yields up 0.1bp at 2.030% and Schatz yields up 6.4bp at 1.739%.
  • Gilt futures are down -0.85 today at 968.88 with 10y yields up 5.8bp at 4.086% and 2y yields up 3.1bp at 4.011%.

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