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Gilts and core EGBs are trading........>

BOND SUMMARY
BOND SUMMARY: Gilts and core EGBs are trading weaker to open November as risk
appetite continues to pick up, and the Bank of England decision eyed later.
- The Dec 18 Bund future is down 47 ticks at 159.79, on the lows (range of
159.79-160.27 today). Periphery EGBs are stronger in a risk-on move, BTP
futuresup 68 ticks at 122.32, and spreads/Bunds down sharply.
- Meanwhile the Dec 18 Gilt future is down 44 ticks at 121.97, like Bunds on the
low, having traded in a range of 121.97-122.22 today.
- Rate futures weaker, especially Short Sterling, off 4-5 ticks across the strip
(positive Brexit deal news cited), and ahead of BOE MPC decision at midday GMT.
- With MNI PINCH suggesting that markets are pricing only a 50% chance of a rate
hike by the November 2019 meeting, we believe that there is decent risk/reward
in positioning for a more hawkish report (see POV email/bullet yesterday).
- UK Oct Manuf PMI due out at 0930GMT as well (expected to ease to 53.0 from
53.8 in Sep).
- Trade in European bond markets subdued due to holidays across the region (All
Saints' Day).

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