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Goldman and RBC Notes Oil Market Threats from Russian Uprising

OIL

The global oil market faces fresh risks from the uprising in Russia by mercenary group Wagner but said the near-term impact is likely muted, according to Goldman Sachs.

  • “The higher risk of lower supply at some point may put some upward pressure on prices,” it added.
  • Goldman noted potential for longer term Black Sea supply issues with the possibility for disruption or blockades. It also noted Wagner’s presence in Libya and the potential to block in 1.1mn bpd.
  • “The immediate challenge to the Putin regime appears to have receded,” according to RBC in a client note, adding, “However, the risk of further civil unrest in Russia now must be factored into our oil analysis for the back half of the year.”

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