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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI BRIEF: China November PMI Rises Further Above 50
MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
Goldman Sachs note that "although we....>
DOLLAR-ASIA: Goldman Sachs note that "although we anticipate USD weakness vs.
some crosses, we exp. USD/NJA FX to follow USD/CNY higher short term. We expect
KRW, TWD & MYR to underperform NJA FX as our previous analysis has shown that
these currencies have the highest beta CNY. We now forecast USD/KRW at 1280,
1250 & 1200 and forecast USD/TWD at 30.9, 30.50 & 30.20 on a 3m, 6m & 12m view.
We also exp. THB to underperform NJA because international tourism (12% of
Thailand's GDP) should remain subdued while other sectors such as m'fing
rebounds first. Thus, THB should remain a laggard within NJA over the next 12m;
we forecast USD/THB as 32.80, 32.50 & 32.0. Amongst the low-yield NJA FX, we
exp. SGD to outperform peers. The MAS has already delivered double easing, & the
gov't has just announced another large fiscal package, where financing could
potentially come from overseas asset sales. We exp. high-yield NJA FX to
relatively outperform low-yield NJA FX, as they are less linked to China & more
sensitive to the broad USD. We now forecast USD/INR at 77, 76, & 75 on 3m, 6m &
12m view. Meanwhile, we exp. PHP & IDR to outperform NJA, forecasting 50.9, 50.6
& 49.5 for USD/PHP and 14800, 14600 & 14200 for USD/IDR."
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.