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Goldman Sachs note that "U.S. dollar..........>

FOREX
FOREX: Goldman Sachs note that "U.S. dollar reserve selling, in aggregate, was
more muted in April than in March. Switzerland actively accumulated reserves in
April, yet another indication of substantial FX intervention to weaken the Swiss
Franc. Hong Kong appears to have added to Dollar reserves in April, likely to
defend the USD/HKD peg. Overall, these results are consistent with i) the
gradual easing of funding and liquidity conditions throughout April and ii) a
potential return to USD reserve accumulation across most of the world's largest
reserve managers in the coming months. In fact, the Federal Reserve Bank of New
York's weekly custody data show the sharp decline in Treasury holdings since the
end of February has partially reversed over the past few weeks. As we have noted
before, if central banks begin accumulating Dollar reserves again as economies
recover and market stresses ease further, "reserve rebalancing flows"-to bring
the currency composition of their portfolios back to target levels-may weigh on
the Dollar versus other major reserve currencies, such as the Euro."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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