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MARKET TALK: Goldman Sachs suggest that "following the rebound of risky assets
last week, overall investor sentiment remains neutral overall. Options
positioning indicators are no longer signaling FOMO (fear of missing out) as
call vs put volume ratio normalised, skew became more expensive and spot/vol
correlation remains well in negative territory. Equity futures positions of
asset managers, which are more correlated with equity performance, continued to
decline last week and are still c. $90 bn below the peak reached in January. The
AAII bull vs bear survey declined again last week and dislocated further from
its relation with S&P 500 1m return. On the flip side, fund flows and CTAs funds
showed the first signs of re-risking. The large increase of money market fund
inflows stopped in the last 3 weeks. Appetite on credit remains very strong with
sustained inflows into corporate bond funds. Equity fund flows were positive as
well over the last month but turned negative last week. Lastly, with the strong
rebound of stocks, our US strategists estimate of US investor allocation in
equity increased to c. 44% (80th percentile since 1990) from the 40% reached at
the start of 2Q."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 |
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 |