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Greenback Further Erasing Post-NFP Gains

EMERGING MARKETS
  • The USD is comfortably the poorest performing currency in G10, with the DXY stepping lower to erase the majority of the post-NFP strength. The USD Index is close to 0.7% off the Friday high, with 101.987 marking the immediate support to watch. Moves come as markets see relatively little read through from the jobs report to Fed monetary policy, with a 25bps step in early May likely marking the peak of this tightening cycle.
  • China's Consumer Price Index rose 0.7% y/y in March, 1pp off market expectations and down from February’s 1% y/y change due to higher fresh produce supply and lower energy and automobile prices, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics. Food costs increased 2.4% y/y, down 0.2pp from February as vegetable prices dropped by 11.1% y/y, 7.3pp lower than last month.
  • Eurozone retail sales contracted by -0.8% m/m in the February data, in line with consensus expectations. Sales fell by -3.0% y/y, signalling the fifth consecutive read in negative territory for the data. Germany alone posted a substantial -7.0% y/y drop in sales. Looking forward, eurozone economic confidence edged down in March, with retail outlooks remaining broadly stable with again tentative signs of purchasing intentions improving.

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