Free Trial

Guarded rhetoric in the latest RBA MonPol....>

AUSSIE
AUSSIE: Guarded rhetoric in the latest RBA MonPol meeting dragged AUD to the
bottom of the G10 pile. The minutes reiterated that the Board does not see a
strong case for near-term policy adjustment, but revealed that members discussed
the possibility of a rate cut, if "inflation did not move any higher and
unemployment trended up," which markets read as a marginally dovish signal. The
Bank also noted that the likelihood of a near-term cash rate hike is low.
- AUD/USD last seen at $0.7148, 25 pips worse off, but off of session lows at
$0.7140. A clean break below $0.7138, which represents both the 100-DMA & the
200-HMA, would shift the focus back to the downside and open up the 55-DMA,
cloud top & 21-DMA, hosted by the $0.7120-$0.7117 zone. Meanwhile, a recovery
through the 100-HMA at $0.7158 would allow bulls to set their sights on the
upper Bollinger band (2%), located at $0.7179, just above today's high.
- Australian focus turns to domestic labour market report, which comes out on
Thursday, as well as Chinese GDP, industrial output, retail sales and
unemployment, all due tomorrow.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.