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Free AccessHaley Increases Profile But Trump Still Clear Favourite For GOP Nomination
A new survey from Morning Consult has found that, “58% of potential Republican primary voters back Trump for the GOP’s 2024 nomination... unchanged from our surveys released on Monday before he skipped Wednesday’s matchup."
- According to Morning Consult, the findings show that, "the Republican front-runner paid no price for skipping the debate even though most potential primary voters did want him to attend.”
- The Morning Consult poll is one of several post-debate surveys to conclude that the debate had done little to significantly impact the race for the Republican nomination.
- The Washington Post found that former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley gained the most in awareness and favourability.
- Politico reshuffled its primary tracker after the debate: “The biggest move: DeSantis drops down a tier, leaving Trump as the sole candidate in the “Frontrunners” category.”
- Morning Consult notes: “Third-place candidate Vivek Ramaswamy... saw his backing increase among potential Republican primary voters from 10% to 11%, though that movement was well within the latest survey’s 3-point margin of error.”
Figure 1: Voting Intentions Pre- and Post-Debate (GOP Primary Voters)
Source: Morning Consult
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.