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Hang Seng Enters Correction, Charts Head & Shoulders Pattern

HONG KONG STOCKS

The Hang Seng Index has has tumbled in tandem with most of its regional peers today, as the risk-off tone of Tuesday's NY session spilled over into Asia, while Hong Kong authorities suspended vaccinations with the BioNTech Covid-19 jab, citing packaging defects in a single batch of doses. The index last sits just above the 28,000 mark.

  • Today's move has allowed the index to enter technical correction, as Hang Seng has now weakened by more than 10% since its Feb 18 peak.
  • With today's downswing, the index has completed a head and shoulders pattern, signalling scope for a deeper sell-off.
  • The slide off the Feb 18 peak was heralded by a bearish divergence in the RSI, which is still some way off from oversold territory as we type.
  • Mind that price action over the last two weeks or so was underpinned by a below-average and generally declining volume.
  • The rate has attacked its 100-DMA (27,889), which was intact since early Nov. A clean break below there would confirm that bears are taking control, bringing the 200-DMA at 26,321 & key support from Dec 22 low of 25,999 into view.
  • Bulls look for a rebound above the 28,260 neckline of the head and shoulders formation, before taking aim at the 50-DMA/Mar 18 high at 29,330/29,597.

Fig. 1: Hang Seng Index

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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