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Harris Has More Work To Reconstruct Biden's 2020 Coalition

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New analysis from the Wall Street Journal shows that Vice President Kamala Harris has gone a long way towards repairing the Democratic coalition that elected President Biden in 2020, but Harris “has more work to do to overcome the gains former President Donald Trump has made among Black, Latino and young voters.”

  • The Journal notes: “Support for Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, has grown by 13 percentage points among Black voters since Biden left the race in July… But at 81% support, she is still 10 points behind Biden’s 2020 mark.
  • “Harris has also gained 13 points in Latino support—but lags behind Biden’s 2020 mark by 6 points. Similarly, Harris has improved the party’s standing among young voters—those under age 30—by 7 points. But the party still has a deficit compared with 2020, when Biden’s support was 12 points higher.”
  • The Journal reports that Trump’s primary source of strength comes via bolstered support from men across diverse ethnic groups. Harris, while lagging with men, has potential gains to be made with White women who respond positively to her pledge to restore access to abortion.

Figure 1: Polling Average by Race/Ethnicity

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New analysis from the Wall Street Journal shows that Vice President Kamala Harris has gone a long way towards repairing the Democratic coalition that elected President Biden in 2020, but Harris “has more work to do to overcome the gains former President Donald Trump has made among Black, Latino and young voters.”

  • The Journal notes: “Support for Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, has grown by 13 percentage points among Black voters since Biden left the race in July… But at 81% support, she is still 10 points behind Biden’s 2020 mark.
  • “Harris has also gained 13 points in Latino support—but lags behind Biden’s 2020 mark by 6 points. Similarly, Harris has improved the party’s standing among young voters—those under age 30—by 7 points. But the party still has a deficit compared with 2020, when Biden’s support was 12 points higher.”
  • The Journal reports that Trump’s primary source of strength comes via bolstered support from men across diverse ethnic groups. Harris, while lagging with men, has potential gains to be made with White women who respond positively to her pledge to restore access to abortion.

Figure 1: Polling Average by Race/Ethnicity

Keep reading...Show less