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Highest Level Since December BoJ Meeting

NZD

NZD/JPY has firmed ~4.5% in May, the pair has printed its highest level since the December BoJ meeting when the bank widened the Yield Curve Control Band before marginally paring gains.

  • Firmer commodity prices, the Bloomberg Commodity Index is up ~2% off its early May lows, have aided the rally in the pair.
  • The technical picture looks increasingly bullish, the 20-Day EMA has crossed over the 200-Day EMA.
  • Bulls now look to target ¥86.34 the 76.4% retracement of the Dec-Mar bear leg. This opens up ¥87.20 the high from 20 Dec.
  • Bears first look break ¥85 handle from here they can target the 20-Day EMA (¥83.88).

Fig 1: NZD/JPY Daily Spot, EMAs

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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