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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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The first Emerson College poll since former Maryland Governor Larry Hogan entered the Maryland Senate race has found Hogan tied with Rep. David Trone (D) and with a seven-point lead in a hypothetical matchup against County Executive Angela Alsobrooks.
- Hogan, a popular two-term governor of the state, entered the race last week, providing the GOP a major boost and the first credible chance of flipping a Congressional seat in decades. If Hogan could win the seat it would almost guarantee the GOP control of the Senate in 2025, considering the huge lead Republican Governor Jim Justice (R-WV) has in the race to replace Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV) in West Virginia.
- Despite the seemingly positive polling data for Hogan, Sabato’s Crystal Ball cautions: “In response to Hogan’s announcement, we downgraded our rating for Maryland from Safe Democratic to Likely Democratic. Are Republicans favored now? No, not even close—Democrats are still strongly favored to hold this open seat. But are Hogan’s chances zero? We don’t think so. Simply put, despite the terrain of the state, Maryland is now more of a live contest in a way that it wasn’t at the start of the month.”
Figure 1: 2024 Maryland Senate Matchups
Source: Emerson College Polling
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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