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Home Sales Slide Continues Along With Measured Price Correction

CANADA DATA
  • Contrary to in line housing starts, existing home sales slid -3.3% M/M (cons -1.7%) in November.
  • Prices resumed their downward trend, down -1.4% M/M for a 11.5% decline from the spring peak but still 35% above pre-pandemic levels.
  • Larger price declines are being prevented by subdued listings, with November seeing the fewest new listings for the month in 17 years barring 2019. Low levels of sales are however helping relative supply, with the 4.2 months of supply at post-pandemic highs, nearing levels in the months leading up to the initial Covid lockdowns.
  • CREA senior economist: “It will be interesting to see what buyers do when listings start to come out in big numbers in the spring, and even more interesting to see what happens a little later then the Bank of Canada, now widely thought to be at or very near the top of its tightening cycle, starts to eventually cut rates. All the other fundamental factors needed for the market to take off again are still out there.”

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