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Household Liabilities Don't Appear Immediate Economic Threat

US

The NY Fed's quarterly report on Household Debt / Credit charts are worth a flip through - there's been a huge rise in credit card accounts, contrasting with slowing auto loans and flat new mortgage growth, which may point to increasing need to borrow to fund current consumption amid high inflation.

  • But overall, in Q1 at least, there was extremely limited apparent stress on households - loan delinquency is extremely low by historic standards and not really rising. Compare to the significant rise in 2007-08 for instance.
  • That will change for the worse as higher rates feed through, but it doesn't look like a story for a few quarters yet.

Source: NY Fed

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