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In a note released on Friday Nomura.........>

UK VIEW
UK VIEW: In a note released on Friday Nomura stated that "there is nothing in
the forthcoming economic data that can be strong enough to persuade the BoE MPC
to vote collectively for a rate rise in May. It is even possible that the two
members that voted for a rate rise at the March meeting may pause for thought.
Assuming, however, that what we are seeing is a temporary pause for breath in
economic momentum rather than a more permanent slowdown, we feel it is
reasonable to shift the starting point of our view of one 25bp hike every six
months out by one quarter - i.e. rather than raising rates in May, we now see
the next move being in August this year followed by hikes in February and August
in 2019. That in turn will delay until later in 2020 or even early 2021 our
forecast of when the Bank begins to allow its QE programme to roll off."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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