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Indictment Boosts Trump's Lead Over DeSantis

US

A new survey from Yahoo News/YouGov has indicated the indictment of Former President Donald Trump may increase his chances of winning the GOP 2024 nomination.

  • “The new poll — one of the first conducted after former President Donald Trump was indicted Thursday for his role in paying hush money to a porn star — shows Trump surging to his largest-ever lead over Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis…”
  • The political repercussions of a Trump conviction remain unclear, especially considering that the indictment remains sealed until after Trump is arraigned. Conventional wisdom in Washington says such a public prosecution will bolster Trump in the GOP primary but may harm his chances in the 2024 presidential election.
  • Axios: “What's good for Trump in a primary is unlikely to translate into a general election. Trump had rock-bottom favorability ratings among all Americans before the indictment, and the specter of a presidential candidate facing the prospect of jail time isn't likely to win over swing voters.”

Figure 1: Voting Preference in Republican Primary

Source: Yahoo News/YouGov

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