April 26, 2024 05:21 GMT
INDON Sov Curve Steepens, GDP Forecast Higher
INDONESIA
The Indonesian sov curve has bear-steepened today with yields 3-6bps higher. Government forecasts GDP growth at 5.17% in 1Q, higher than 5.04% a year ago and the budget will remain in surplus, Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati said today.
- The INDON sov curve is flatter today, the 2Y yield is 3.5bp higher at 5.33%, 5Y yield is 4.5bps higher at 5.385%, the 10Y yield is 4.5bps higher at 5.50%, while the 5-year CDS is down 1bps at 79bps.
- The INDON to UST spread diff has widen in the front-end overnight as the treasury curve bear-steepened, the 2Y is now 354bps (-1bps), 5yr is 67.5bps (+1.5bps), while the 10yr is 81bps (+1bps)
- In cross-asset moves, the USD/IDR is up 0.23% at 16,225, the JCI is 0.55% lower, Palm Oil is unchanged, while US Tsys yields are 0.5-1bps lower
- Foreign Investors continue to offload Indonesian debt with selling momentum picking up in the short-term the past 8 trading days have seen a total of $868m of outflows, with the 5-day average is now -$100m, vs the 20-day average at -$66m, while the 100 & 200-day averages are about -$8m.
- Looking forward, S&P Global Indonesia PMI Mfg and CPI on Thursday
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