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Inflation Slows to +10.3% in August Flash, Core Continues to Accelerate

SPAIN DATA
MNI (London)

SPAIN AUG FLASH HICP +0.1% M/M (FCST +0.1%); JUL -0.6% M/M

SPAIN AUG FLASH HICP +10.3% Y/Y (FCST +10.3%); JUL +10.7% Y/Y

  • Spanish flash headline HICP was in line with market expectations in the August release, slowing by 0.4pp to +10.3% y/y. The month-on-month inflation rate all but stalled at +0.1% m/m, following the -0.6% m/m deflation seen in July.
  • The national CPI reading saw similar moves, also softening by 0.4pp in the annualised print, bringing it 0.3pp lower than anticipated at +10.4% y/y.
  • The key driver of softer price growth this month was due to the fall in fuel prices. Electricity, food, hospitality and tourism continued to see prices increase.
  • As such, core inflation is seen 0.3pp higher at +6.4% y/y in the August flash, a 1993 high. This confirms the need for another hike from the ECB at the September 8 meeting, with policymakers seemingly set to debate an increase of 50 0r 75 bps.

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