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Inflation Steady at 7.4% in April

EUROZONE DATA
MNI (London)

EUROZONE APRIL FINAL CPI +0.6% M/M; +7.4%r Y/Y (MAR 7.4%)

APRIL Y/Y CPI REVISED DOWN 0.1PP

EUROZONE APRIL FINAL CORE CPI +3.5% Y/Y; +1.0%r M/M

  • The April inflation print for the Euro area saw a 0.1pp downwards revision to 7.4% y/y, leaving it unchanged from the euro-high March rate.
  • Core inflation rose by 3.5% y/y in April, a 0.5pp uptick on March. The monthly rate alone saw 1.0% acceleration.
  • The highest rates of inflation were seen in Estonia (19.1% y/y), Lithuania (16.6% y/y) and Czechia (13.2% y/y).
  • Energy continued to be the key upside driver of prices, contributing 3.70pp to the annualised rate, followed by services (+1.38pp), food etc (+1.35pp) and industrial goods (+1.02pp).
  • This follows the European Commission’s Spring forecasts yesterday which pointed to inflation averaging 6.1% for 2022.
  • This confirmation underlines the shift in ECB rhetoric seen over the past month, with markets now pricing a 25bp hike in July.

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