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Initial Jobless Claims See Second Lowest Print On Record

US DATA
  • Initial jobless claims again surprise lower, printing just a seasonally adjusted 187k (cons 205k) in the week to Jan 13, lining up with a payrolls reference week. It follows an almost unrevised 203k (initial 202k) after what had been another surprisingly low print.
  • The single week print is below the 2019 low of 197k for a pre-pandemic comparison, and there was only one lower in 2022 with a 182k.
  • The four-week average dropped 5k to 203k for fresh lows since Feb’23.
  • Continuing claims meanwhile also surprised lower, falling to a seasonally adjusted 1806k (cons 1840k) after a marginally downward revised 1832k (initial 1834k).
  • Recall that last week’s non-seasonally adjusted figure received attention as it spiked to 2105k at year-end. This week’s 2122k is notably above the 2023 equivalent but more in keeping/lower than prior years – see chart.

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