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Free AccessINR finished the session slightly stronger....>
INDIA: INR finished the session slightly stronger against the USD despite the
RBI cutting rates by 25bps (alongside exp) and heavily suggesting further rate
cuts are forthcoming if the economy remains weak. INR rallied, while equities
(and, to a lesser extent, sovereign yields) slipped. This leaves USD/INR still
below the 50-dma at 69.5168, which appears to be becoming a firmer level of
resistance at present. 69.0387 (week's low) provides initial support ahead of
68.35.
-The RBI decision appears to have disappointed some who were eyeing a firmer
commitment from the board on addressing issues within the banking sector and
particularly liquidity management. Failure to address these topics further
(potentially via new liquidity operations as enacted ahead of the elections this
year) could further disappoint markets and lead INR higher still. Mirroring this
sentiment, NSE data today shows both domestic and global funds were net sellers
of equities Thursday.
-Attention turns to CPI, industrial production and trade balance figures due
next week.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.