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Interest Rates See Renewed Bite On Pending Home Sales

US DATA
  • Pending home sales surprisingly dropped -7.1% M/M (cons -1) in August after a downward revised small increase of 0.5% M/M (initial 0.9).
  • The index is tied with the pandemic low from Apr’20, otherwise at its lowest for the series that started in 2001.
  • A leading indicator for existing home sales, it suggests a further widening in the post-pandemic trends seen in the large existing segment (more than 30% below pre-pandemic levels) and the smaller new homes market (mostly back at pre-pandemic levels).
  • NAR’s Yun: "The Federal Reserve must consider the sharply decelerating rent growth in its consideration of future monetary policy. There is no need to raise interest rates.”
  • "Moreover, the government shutdown will disrupt some home sales in the short run due to the lack of flood insurance or delays in government-backed mortgage issuance"

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