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Intermediate PPI Deflation Continues To Fade in June

GERMAN DATA

German June producer prices came in in line with expectations on a yearly comparison, at -1.6% Y/Y, higher than May's -2.2% Y/Y as energy and intermediate goods deflation continue to fade. On a sequential basis, producer prices increased slightly more than expected, at +0.2% M/M (vs +0.1% cons; 0.0% prior).

  • Looking at the individual categories, energy deflation came in at its highest yearly rate since June 2023 as base effects continue to drop out of the comparison.
  • Intermediate goods deflation meanwhile continued to decelerate in a sign that the trend of gradually lower goods contributions to overall headline CPI will fade off (as it has already started to). Intermediate goods printed at -0.9% Y/Y (vs -1.8% prior) - its highest rate since April 2023.
  • Elsewhere, there was little change compared to the May print: investment goods, durable goods, non-durable goods, and consumption goods all had relatively similar yearly rates to last month (see table below).
German PPI MetricsJun % Y/YMay % Y/Y
Investment Goods2.3%2.4%
Intermediate Goods-0.9%-1.8%
Durable Goods0.7%0.7%
Non-Durable Goods0.6%0.4%
Consumption Goods0.6%0.5%
Energy-5.9%-6.4%
Total -1.6%-2.2%

MNI, Destatis

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German June producer prices came in in line with expectations on a yearly comparison, at -1.6% Y/Y, higher than May's -2.2% Y/Y as energy and intermediate goods deflation continue to fade. On a sequential basis, producer prices increased slightly more than expected, at +0.2% M/M (vs +0.1% cons; 0.0% prior).

  • Looking at the individual categories, energy deflation came in at its highest yearly rate since June 2023 as base effects continue to drop out of the comparison.
  • Intermediate goods deflation meanwhile continued to decelerate in a sign that the trend of gradually lower goods contributions to overall headline CPI will fade off (as it has already started to). Intermediate goods printed at -0.9% Y/Y (vs -1.8% prior) - its highest rate since April 2023.
  • Elsewhere, there was little change compared to the May print: investment goods, durable goods, non-durable goods, and consumption goods all had relatively similar yearly rates to last month (see table below).
German PPI MetricsJun % Y/YMay % Y/Y
Investment Goods2.3%2.4%
Intermediate Goods-0.9%-1.8%
Durable Goods0.7%0.7%
Non-Durable Goods0.6%0.4%
Consumption Goods0.6%0.5%
Energy-5.9%-6.4%
Total -1.6%-2.2%

MNI, Destatis