MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, January 10

MNI BRIEF: China To Adopt Very Proactive Fiscal Policy-Offical

CANADA LIBERAL LEADERHIP VOTE TO REPLACE TRUDEAU SET FOR MAR 9

MNI BRIEF: PBOC Suspends Bonds Trades As Yields Drop

MNI: PBOC Net Drains CNY14.8 Bln via OMO Friday

MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Higher At 7.1891 Fri; -2.36% Y/Y

USDA: CORN STOCKS 12,074M BSL ON JAN 1

MNI: USDA: 2024/2025 CORN PRODUCTION EST 14.87B BSL

EZ/UK T-Bill Calendar: Germany, France Auction on Monday

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

© 1982-2025 MNI. All rights reserved.
Terms | Privacy
Log Out
Free Trial

IRELAND: Support Plunges For Harris' Fine Gael In Final Days Of Campaign

IRELAND
Homepagemarkets-real-timePolitical RiskPolitical Risk BulletCEEMEAEurozoneBulletMarketsFixed Income BulletsForeign Exchange BulletsIreland

A new opinion poll from Ipsos B&A for the Irish Times shows Taoiseach (PM) Simon Harris' centre-right Fine Gael (FG) recording a slump in support just days ahead of the 29 November general election. The poll has FG on 19% support, marking a six per cent decline in the 10 days since the last Ipsos B&A poll. A public gaffe involving Harris being publicly rebuked by disability support worker has dominated headlines for days and has threatened to derail the FG campaign. 

  • While FG still sits within the margin of error behind Tainaste (Deputy PM) Micheal Martin's centrist Fianna Fail (FF, 21%) and the main opposition Irish republican Sinn Fein (SF, 20%), such a sharp decline in a short period of time has sent shockwaves through an election campaign that previously had little jeopardy.
  • Most opinion polling in the run-up to the election has shown FG leading, with FF in second and SF in third. As such, a resumption of the incumbent FF-FG-Green coalition was seen as a possibility. However, should the FG slump prove sustained then, alongside a reduction in support for the Greens, this coalition could fall short of a majority.
  • This would leave FG and FF potentially looking to draw the centre-left Social Democrats and Labour parties into a coalition, or seek to cross the majority threshold with independents. While SF may perform better than recent polling has indicated, it remains unlikely that they will be able to find enough willing partners to form a majority gov't.
  • The final televised debate of the campaign between Harris, Martin, and SF leader Mary Lou McDonald takes place on Tuesday 26 November. It will be broadcast on RTE at 2135GMT (1635ET, 2235CET). 

Chart 1. General Election Opinion Polling, % 

Keep reading...Show less
294 words

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.

A new opinion poll from Ipsos B&A for the Irish Times shows Taoiseach (PM) Simon Harris' centre-right Fine Gael (FG) recording a slump in support just days ahead of the 29 November general election. The poll has FG on 19% support, marking a six per cent decline in the 10 days since the last Ipsos B&A poll. A public gaffe involving Harris being publicly rebuked by disability support worker has dominated headlines for days and has threatened to derail the FG campaign. 

  • While FG still sits within the margin of error behind Tainaste (Deputy PM) Micheal Martin's centrist Fianna Fail (FF, 21%) and the main opposition Irish republican Sinn Fein (SF, 20%), such a sharp decline in a short period of time has sent shockwaves through an election campaign that previously had little jeopardy.
  • Most opinion polling in the run-up to the election has shown FG leading, with FF in second and SF in third. As such, a resumption of the incumbent FF-FG-Green coalition was seen as a possibility. However, should the FG slump prove sustained then, alongside a reduction in support for the Greens, this coalition could fall short of a majority.
  • This would leave FG and FF potentially looking to draw the centre-left Social Democrats and Labour parties into a coalition, or seek to cross the majority threshold with independents. While SF may perform better than recent polling has indicated, it remains unlikely that they will be able to find enough willing partners to form a majority gov't.
  • The final televised debate of the campaign between Harris, Martin, and SF leader Mary Lou McDonald takes place on Tuesday 26 November. It will be broadcast on RTE at 2135GMT (1635ET, 2235CET). 

Chart 1. General Election Opinion Polling, % 

Keep reading...Show less