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ISM And ADP Eyed For Further Clues On August Performance

US TSYS SUMMARY

Treasuries have weakened in overnight trade, but it's been a story of two halves, with weakness in Asia-Pac largely reversing in the European morning.

  • Tsy futures dipped as equity futures gained in an overall risk-on global atmosphere, but after hitting lows between 2300ET and 0200ET, we saw a rebound, partially on dovish comments by ECB's Stournaras boosting EGBs.
  • Fairly tight ranges though: Dec 10-Yr futures (TY) down 2.5/32 at 133-12 (L: 133-07 / H: 133-13.5); curve flat too. 2-Yr yield is up 0bps at 0.2094%, 5-Yr is up 0.7bps at 0.7836%, 10-Yr is up 0.3bps at 1.3121%, and 30-Yr is up 0.1bps at 1.9338%.
  • Data is the session's focus, in the context of several surveys in the past month showing weakening economic activity/sentiment in August. Aug ADP employment at 0815ET, with final Manufacturing PMI at 0945ET. Then at 1000ET is Aug ISM Manufacturing and Jul construction spending.
  • Atlanta Fed's Bostic speaks at 1200ET.
  • No supply; NY Fed buys $3.225B of 7-10Y Tsys.

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