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ISM Manufacturing Sees Surprise Orders and Prices Strength

US DATA
  • ISM manufacturing beat expectations as it increased to 49.1 (cons 47.2) in Jan after a downward revised 47.1 (initial 47.4), its highest since Oct’22 but still having remained in contraction territory ever since.
  • Prices paid notably stronger than expected at 52.9 (cons 46.9) after 45.2, the highest since 53.2 in Apr’23 (tallying with the earlier PMI selling prices) and before that Jul’22.
  • There was also surprise strength in new orders at 52.5 (cons 48.2) after 47.0, its highest since May’22 and the strongest monthly increase since Oct’20.
  • The new orders to inventories differential has been pointing to upside for manufacturing activity for some time, and again increased 3pts to 6.3 for its highest since Feb’22.
  • Employment was as expected at 47.1 after a downward revised 47.5, with no significant implications for tomorrow’s payrolls report.

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