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ISM Mfg Misses On Softer New Orders and Employment

US DATA
  • A sizeable miss for the ISM manufacturing series considering the widespread improvements in February manufacturing surveys bar yesterday’s surprise slide in the MNI Chicago PMI.
  • The largest misses are in new orders (unwinding more than half of January’s sharp increase) and employment (continuing the recent trend lower to lowest since Jul’23 and before that Jul’20).
  • Prices paid dip slightly vs expectation of broadly no change, but in doing so consolidates January’s very sharp 7.7pt increase to highest levels since Apr’23 and before that mid-2022.
  • New orders less inventories nudges lower from 6.3 to 3.9pts but remains elevated and points to further improvements ahead.
  • ISM mfg 47.8 (cons 49.5) after 49.1
  • New orders: 49.2 (cons 52.7) after 52.5
  • Employment: 45.9 (cons 48.5) after 47.1
  • Prices paid: 52.5 (cons 53.0) after 52.9

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