June 26, 2024 13:15 GMT
J.P.Morgan Recommend Tactical Longs In GBP 5Y5Y RPI Swaps
GILTS
J.P.Morgan recommend entering tactical longs in GBP 5Y5Y RPI swaps.
- They think “5Yx5Y will trade in a narrow 3.30-3.50% range as BoE easing will be cautious and slow and project only a limited rally in nominal yields.”
- They go on to note that “as a medium-term view, we have a bearish bias further out the inflation curve in 10Yx10Y RPI given relative valuations and the background RPI-CPIH alignment should drag RPI forwards in the 5Y+ sector lower.”
- “In real yield space, we have a 10s/30s real yield curve steepening bias.”
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