Free Trial

JP Morgan: CBR Rhetoric More Hawkish Than Anticipated

RUSSIA
  • The CBR’s rhetoric turned slightly more hawkish, and more hawkish than JPM had anticipated. Although there was broad consensus about the decision at the board, a more hawkish signal for upcoming meetings (possibility of hikes) was debated at the meeting.
  • JPM continue to differ with the CBR in their inflation assessments and continue to expect inflation to slow below 5% by end-23 (CBR: 5-7%), hence still think that at some point closer to mid-year the CBR will adopt a more dovish stance, cutting rates slightly to 7.0% from 7.5% in 2Q-3Q23.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.