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JPM Remain Overweight Inflation-Linked Assets as Inflationary Pressure to Persist

CROSS ASSET
  • In a note released earlier this week, JPMorgan remain overweight on cyclicals on the basis of persistent upside inflation surprises across developed markets, twinned with further accommodative monetary policy from global central banks.
  • JPM see equities and commodity markets as having the highest returns across H2, with earnings growth above trend throughout H2 2021.
  • On inflation, JPM continue to see both markets and economists as underappreciating current inflation risks. This backdrop further favours remaining overweight cyclicals, commodities, while holding an underweight position in credit.
  • They see higher real yields as weighing on precious metals, favouring overweight energy, funded by an underweight on precious metals.

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