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July PMI Shows Weak Demand And Disinflation Amid Manufacturing Slump

SPAIN DATA

SPAIN JUL MANUF PMI 47.8 (FCST 48.3); JUN 48.0

  • Spanish July manufacturing PMI came in on the weak side of expectations at 47.8, unexpectedly decelerating from 48.0 in June and undershooting the 48.3 consensus.
  • This was the 4th consecutive monthly reading below the 50.0 level demarcating contraction from expansion, and overall the report provides further evidence of disinflationary impulses from the Eurozone goods / manufacturing sector.
  • As with the German and French PMI flash figures, weakness in manufacturing demand was evident in Spain's report from HCOB/S&P Global, with "sharper reductions in both output and new orders" (including a "more severe deceleration in foreign market demand") resulting in "paring back input buying at a quicker rate and lowering workforce numbers again".
  • Inventories contracted at an accelerated rate (in line with weak demand), with manufacturers running down backlogs. Delivery times have normalized vs stretched pandemic levels.
  • The disinflationary implications were evident: input prices fell at the fastest pace since June 2009, while output charges declined at the strongest rate in just over 3 years as "muted customer demand imparted further downward pressure on prices".
  • While there was a "positive outlook" for future output, the "degree of confidence remained historically subdued and only modest overall".

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