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Free AccessKashkari: "We Just Don't Know" If 3 Hikes Enough In 2022
Minn Fed Pres Kashkari kicks off Fed commentary in the post-January meeting period with an interview on NPR radio: The highlight here is that he thinks "we just don't know" whether 3 rate hikes will be enough in 2022, and doesn't dismiss the idea of 5 being required. He's one of the biggest doves on the FOMC and his last SEP submission was for 2 hikes (and as of early Jan, he anticipated liftoff in July).
- Calls the economy "a little bit imbalanced right now", says it's the Fed's job to restore balance.
- How many rate hikes are needed? "That's a good question." Says some prices pressures will "naturally" relieve themselves and that means the Fed will have to do less.
- Says right now the FOMC has signalled that most participants think there will probably be 3 increases this year, 25bp each, "but we have to see how the data comes out".
- Markets have started pricing in 5 hikes, is 3 enough? "Again, we just don't know" - "we have to wait and see" on whether some workers return to the labor market.
- "High inflation has been higher than I expected and has lasted longer".
- "I don't agree" that it took central bankers too long to address inflation.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.