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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessMNI UST Issuance Deep Dive: Dec 2024
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Kiwi Bolstered By Strong Inflation Print, Greenback Remains On Back Foot
The kiwi dollar has caught a bid (albeit in a gradual manner) after the release of New Zealand's Q2 CPI report, with headline inflation quickening to +7.3% Y/Y, the strongest pace in 32 years. Prices grew faster than expected by analysts polled by Bloomberg (median est. +7.1% Y/Y) and surpassed the projection in the RBNZ's May Monetary Policy Statement (+7.0% Y/Y). New Zealand's central bank will publish its preferred gauge of core inflation later in the day, providing further insights on underlying price dynamics.
- The data provoked slight hawkish repricing of RBNZ tightening, while NZ 2-year swaps climbed to their highest point this month. In terms of sell-side response, ANZ revised its terminal OCR level call to 4.0% from 3.5%. The bank added that "a 75bp hike at the August MPS is a very real possibility."
- NZD/USD ran as high as to $0.6192, but has shied away from testing the $0.6200 mark. Implied volatilities rose across the curve, with 1-month tenor (it now covers the next RBNZ rate review) grinding to best levels since last Wednesday.
- The greenback sits at the bottom of the G10 pile as the region digester Friday's Fedspeak/data out of the U.S. which reduced expectations of a full-percentage point hike at the next FOMC meeting. E-mini futures remain in positive territory, as sentiment remains relatively buoyant.
- Japanese financial markets are closed in observance of a public holiday, limiting liquidity in the local timezone.
- The global data docket will remain rather light after Asia hours. BoE's Saunders is the only G10 central bank member due to speak.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.