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KRW: Bullish Reversal?

JPY

JPY/KRW entered a basing phase this week, finding firm support just shy of KRW10.4000. The rate has headed higher today, stoking hopes for a bullish reversal. This expectation is underpinned by the RSI's return above the 30 threshold, as well as a (not particularly pronounced, admittedly) bullish divergence showed by this indicator. Last Friday's dip took JPY/KRW under the lower 2.0% Bollinger band was another signal pointing to oversold conditions, but the rate returned above there as it began to trade sideways this week. Worth mentioning that the rate charted a bullish Harami candlestick pattern into the beginning of this week, but failed to ascend in its immediate wake. From a longer-term perspective, JPY/KRW started to build a base just as it approached the 50% retracement of the 2015 - 2020 rally at KRW10.3529.

  • JPY/KRW last deals +364 at KRW10.4696. Should the rate manage to garner some more topside momentum, a breach of channel top at KRW10.5763 would reinforce bullish expectations, bringing Nov 30 high of KRW10.6521 into view. Conversely, a clean break below the aforementioned KRW10.38 area, followed by the lower 2.0% Bollinger band/Fibo retracement level at KRW10.3578/10.3529, would bring bears back into the driving seat, giving them a green light for targeting channel floor at KRW10.2383.


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