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Latest Ifop Poll: RN: 36% (=), NFP: 28.5% (-1), Ensemble: 21% (+0.5%)

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The latest rolling opinion poll from Ifop ahead of the presidential election shows little change from yesterday's publication. The right-wing nationalist Rassemblement National (RN) and its allies sit in first place on 36%, the same score as yesterday. The leftist New Popular Front (NFP) alliance sits in second on 28.5% (down 1%), and the centrist Ensemble bloc of President Emmanuel Macron is in third place on 21% (up 0.5%). The conservative Les Republicains and other parties of the centre-right sit on 6.5% (down 0.5%).

  • If these results were reflected in the 30 June and 7 July elections it would likely result in RN emerging as the largest party, but short of a majority. This would risk either a minority RN gov't or political paralysis presaging a technocratic gov'.t

Chart 1. Ifop Poll 25 June, %

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The latest rolling opinion poll from Ifop ahead of the presidential election shows little change from yesterday's publication. The right-wing nationalist Rassemblement National (RN) and its allies sit in first place on 36%, the same score as yesterday. The leftist New Popular Front (NFP) alliance sits in second on 28.5% (down 1%), and the centrist Ensemble bloc of President Emmanuel Macron is in third place on 21% (up 0.5%). The conservative Les Republicains and other parties of the centre-right sit on 6.5% (down 0.5%).

  • If these results were reflected in the 30 June and 7 July elections it would likely result in RN emerging as the largest party, but short of a majority. This would risk either a minority RN gov't or political paralysis presaging a technocratic gov'.t

Chart 1. Ifop Poll 25 June, %

Keep reading...Show less