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Free AccessLight Selling Pressure Emerges As Chinese PMIs Miss Forecasts
Spot USD/CNH caught a light bid as China's official PMI figures missed expectations. The rate last sits +31 pips at CNH4.4678, holding yesterday's range.
- Official M'fing PMI came in at 51.1, missing BBG estimate of 51.8, while the Non-M'fing gauge deteriorated to 54.9 vs. BBG forecast of 56.1.
- Caixin M'fing PMI which tracks smaller, export-oriented Chinese producers is due shortly, with the complementary Services gauge coming up next Friday.
- Elsewhere, next Friday will also see the release of China's trade data & BoP current account balance.
- The PBOC set its central USD/CNY mid-point at CNY6.4672, 7 pips above sell-side estimates, with little in the way of market reaction seen after the fix.
- Chinese authorities continued with its crackdown on tech giants and slapped wide-ranging restrictions on the financial divisions of 13 companies including Tencent & ByteDance.
- A break above the 100-DMA/Apr 22 high at CNH6.4948/6.4995 would shift topside focus to Apr 16 high of CNH6.5366. Conversely, a fall through yesterday's low of CNH6.4614 would open up 76.4% retracement of the YtD upswing/Feb 24 low at CNH6.4450/6.4412.
Fig. 1: China Official Manufacturing vs. Non-Manufacturing PMI
Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg
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