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Light Support Derived From Latest Easing Talk

CNH

USD/CNH ticked away from session highs on the back of a BBG source report which suggested that “China is considering a broad package of stimulus measures as pressure builds on Xi Jinping’s government to boost the world’s second-largest economy… The stimulus proposals, drafted by multiple government agencies and partially reported by Bloomberg News earlier this month, include at least a dozen measures designed to support areas such as real estate and domestic demand… Interest-rate reductions are also among the policies under consideration.”

  • The rate has stabilised to last trade around CNH7.1650.
  • The story comes after the PBoC cut the interest rate applied to its 7-day reverse repo rate by 10bp (in what should be a pre-cursor to moves lower in the 1-Year MLF rate and LPR fixings over the coming days) on Tuesday, which resulted in another fresh YtD high for USD/CNH (CNH7.1782).
  • The well-defined technical uptrend channel in the cross remains intact for now, at least on a closing basis, with the upper boundary located at CNH7.1752 today.

Fig. 1: USD/CNH

source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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