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Little Changed, Q1 Capex & 2023-24 Plans Beat, Debt Ceiling Bill Passes House

AUSSIE BONDS

ACGBs are little changed (YM flat & XM +0.5) after Q1 Capex printed higher than expected at +2.4% q/q versus expectations of +1.0%. Plant and equipment investment capex rose by 3.7% q/q, while buildings and structures increased by 1.2% q/q. The 2nd estimate of 2023-24 investment plans printed at A$137bn versus an estimate of A$136bn.

  • Elsewhere, the US House of Representatives has voted to lift the US debt ceiling by 314-117. The bill now goes to the Democrat-led Senate and President Biden has urged it to pass the agreement as soon as possible. In terms of the Senate, Bloomberg is reporting that several senators have said that they won’t allow the legislation to pass quickly.
  • US tsys have softened after the announcement with the early Asia-Pac session richening of 1-3bp turning into a 1-2bp cheapening.
  • Cash ACGBs are 1bp richer on the day with the AU-US 10-year yield differential -2bp at -6bp.
  • Swap rates are flat on the day with EFPs 1-2bp wider.
  • The bills strip sees pricing -2 to +2.
  • RBA dated OIS is little changed across meetings.

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