July 17, 2024 06:22 GMT
Little Net Movement On UK CPI
EGBS
Bund futures trade either side of pre-UK CPI data levels following the firmer-than-expected readings, but the data fails to have a lasting impact, leaving the contract +10 at 132.48.
- The bullish technical cycle in the contract has extended.
- Yesterday’s high was breached on the data, which puts initial resistance at 132.60, protecting the June 25 high (132.80).
- Initial support is a little further away, at the 50-day EMA (131.62).
- BTP and OATs futures also a touch firmer than settlement, but off best levels.
- Final Eurozone CPI data and Fedspeak (Waller & Barkin) headline today’s macro calendar.
- Elsewhere, German fiscal matters will be eyed, with the cabinet set to present the final 2025 draft budget. A EUR17bn budget gap needs to be filled.
- German long end supply presents the highlight on the EGB auction front (EUR1bn of each of the 0% Aug-52 & the 2.50% Aug-54 Bund). Greece will come to market with 5s, while Italy will buyback up to EUR4bn of bonds.
162 words