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Little Reaction To Potential Inclusion In Runoff

US T-BILLS
  • Relatively little reaction in T-bills to most participants judging it appropriate to redeem bills when Tsy coupon principal payments are below the cap -- only a few analysts had expected inclusion.
  • 3M bills trade 1bp softer since the release (unchanged from 15mins before the minutes) at 0.66%, which is presumably unsurprising with a ramp-up period of three months or modestly longer for Tsys.
  • 12M bills sold off 4.5bps, indicating a greater likelihood of months where the Tsy cap isn’t met, but only to earlier intraday highs and more surprisingly giving more than half of this back at 1.688%.

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